Classified → CovertST™ Mixed
+$520 Profit +77% Return 10% Chance $673 Cost
FN ×8 $39.18 FN ×2 $180
FN 40% $442 0.0120 FN 40% $104 0.0120 FT 10% $9,999 0.1898 FN 10% — 0.0048
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium 8× Fever 2× Winter Offensive
Classified → CovertMixed
+$327 Profit +11% Return 80% Chance $2,869 Cost
FN ×2 $37.52 FN ×8 $349
FN 80% $4,000 0.0099 FN 10% $340 0.0165 FN 10% $275 0.0165
Risk Low Availability Medium Sells Medium 8× 2021 Mirage 2× Dead Hand
≈ 10% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Restricted → ClassifiedMixed
+$314 Profit +13% Return 50% Chance $2,487 Cost
FN ×5 $14.00 FN ×5 $483
FN 50% $5,600 0.0200 FN 25% $156 0.0250 FN 25% $78.92 0.0250
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Slow 5× Arabesque 5× Rising Sun
Restricted → Classified
+$314 Profit +6% Return 100% Chance $5,174 Cost
FN ×6 $540 FN ×4 $483
FN 100% $5,600 0.0192
Risk Low Availability Medium Sells Slow Rising Sun
Restricted → ClassifiedMixed
+$255 Profit +9% Return 90% Chance $2,932 Cost
FN ×9 $325 FT ×1 $7.37
FN 90% $3,600 0.0511 FN 5.0% $186 0.0638 FN 5.0% $71.92 0.0681
Risk Low Availability Medium Sells Medium 9× Norse 1× Graphic Design
Classified → CovertMixed
+$231 Profit +10% Return 60% Chance $2,234 Cost
FN ×3 $37.52 MW ×1 $25.97 FN ×6 $349
FN 60% $4,000 0.0092 FN 15% $340 0.0154 FN 15% $275 0.0154 FN 5.0% $277 0.0077 FT 5.0% $184 0.1926
Risk Medium Availability Medium Sells Medium 6× 2021 Mirage 3× Dead Hand 1× Phoenix
≈ 15% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertST™ Mixed
+$227 Profit +42% Return 10% Chance $536 Cost
FN ×7 $39.18 FN ×1 $32.24 MW ×1 $49.00 FN ×1 $180
FN 35% $442 0.0117 FN 35% $104 0.0117 FT 5.0% $9,999 0.1896 FT 5.0% $1,300 0.1896 FN 5.0% $107 0.0117 FN 5.0% — 0.0059 5.0% $340 5.0% — +3
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium 7× Fever 1× Winter Offensive 1× Phoenix 1× Revolution
Classified → CovertMixed
+$227 Profit +10% Return 60% Chance $2,245 Cost
FN ×4 $37.52 FN ×6 $349
FN 60% $4,000 0.0089 FN 20% $340 0.0149 FN 20% $275 0.0149
Risk Medium Availability Medium Sells Medium 6× 2021 Mirage 4× Dead Hand
≈ 20% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertST™ Mixed
+$222 Profit +41% Return 10% Chance $540 Cost
FN ×7 $39.18 FN ×1 $37.10 MW ×1 $49.00 FN ×1 $180
FN 35% $442 0.0118 FN 35% $104 0.0118 FT 5.0% $1,300 0.1897 FN 5.0% $284 0.0095 FN 5.0% $150 0.0083 FN 5.0% — 0.0059 5.0% $9,999 5.0% — +3
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium 7× Fever 1× Winter Offensive 1× Phoenix 1× Fracture
Classified → CovertST™
+$205 Profit +60% Return 50% Chance $339 Cost
FN ×9 $36.00 FN ×1 $14.55
FN 50% $800 0.0287 FN 50% $309 0.0497
Risk Medium Availability Medium Sells Medium CS20
≈ 50% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertMixed
+$200 Profit +21% Return 20% Chance $956 Cost
FN ×4 $37.52 MW ×4 $25.97 FN ×2 $351
FN 20% $4,819 0.0200 FN 20% $340 0.0200 FN 20% $277 0.0100 FN 20% $275 0.0200 FT 20% $184 0.1964
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium 4× Phoenix 4× Dead Hand 2× Ancient
≈ 40% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertST™ Mixed
+$198 Profit +37% Return 5% Chance $533 Cost
FN ×9 $39.18 FN ×1 $180
FN 45% $442 0.0110 FN 45% $104 0.0110 FT 5.0% $9,999 0.1890 FN 5.0% — 0.0044
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium 9× Fever 1× Winter Offensive
Classified → CovertST™
+$196 Profit +61% Return 50% Chance $319 Cost
FN ×8 $36.00 FN ×2 $15.32
FN 50% $800 0.0300 FN 50% $250 0.0514
Risk Medium Availability Medium Sells Medium CS20
≈ 50% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Restricted → Classified
+$128 Profit +4% Return 100% Chance $3,400 Cost
FN ×8 $325 MW ×2 $400
FN 100% $3,600 0.0528
Risk Low Availability Medium Norse
Classified → Covert
+$84.27 Profit +40% Return 50% Chance $209 Cost
FN ×5 $29.85 MW ×5 $12.00
FN 50% $399 0.0600 FN 50% $200 0.0600
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium Dead Hand
≈ 50% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → Covert
+$72.69 Profit +19% Return 100% Chance $375 Cost
FN ×1 $37.52 FN ×9 $37.52
FN 50% $480 0.0100 FN 50% $434 0.0100
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium Dead Hand
Restricted → ClassifiedST™
+$58.30 Profit +38% Return 33% Chance $154 Cost
MW ×9 $16.00 FT ×1 $9.68
MW 33% $550 0.1175 FN 33% $49.92 0.0087 MW 33% $49.00 0.0995
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium Phoenix
≈ 67% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Restricted → ClassifiedST™
+$53.25 Profit +35% Return 33% Chance $151 Cost
MW ×8 $16.00 MW ×1 $12.88 FT ×1 $9.68
MW 33% $550 0.1199 FN 33% $49.92 0.0099 MW 33% $24.00 0.1022
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium Phoenix
≈ 67% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Restricted → Classified
+$43.60 Profit +17% Return 100% Chance $250 Cost
FT ×10 $25.04
FT 100% $300 0.1892
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium Overpass
Mil-Spec → RestrictedST™
+$40.88 Profit +23% Return 100% Chance $179 Cost
MW ×7 $18.00 MW ×2 $17.83 MW ×1 $17.82
MW 33% $266 0.1099 FN 33% $219 0.0050 MW 33% $190 0.1099
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium Arms Deal
≈ 33% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertMixed
+$37.76 Profit +59% Return 20% Chance $63.84 Cost
FT ×1 $19.96 FT ×1 $19.96 BS ×8 $2.99
BS 40% $35.50 0.7092 BS 40% $29.18 0.6205 MW 20% $389 0.0709
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium 8× Fracture 2× Sport & Field
≈ 80% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Mil-Spec → RestrictedST™ Mixed
+$37.16 Profit +23% Return 90% Chance $162 Cost
MW ×8 $18.00 MW ×1 $17.83 MW ×1 $0.62
MW 30% $266 0.1093 FN 30% $219 0.0047 MW 30% $190 0.1093 FN 2.0% $17.39 0.0495 FN 2.0% $14.77 0.0384 FN 2.0% — 0.0467 2.0% $33.79 2.0% — +3
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium 9× Arms Deal 1× Gallery
≈ 34% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Mil-Spec → RestrictedST™ Mixed
+$36.92 Profit +23% Return 90% Chance $162 Cost
MW ×7 $18.00 MW ×1 $0.23 MW ×2 $17.83
MW 30% $266 0.1096 FN 30% $219 0.0048 MW 30% $190 0.1096 FN 2.0% $5.28 0.0600 FN 2.0% $4.99 0.0420 FN 2.0% — 0.0390 2.0% $12.00 2.0% $2.47 +3
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium 9× Arms Deal 1× Recoil
≈ 36% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Restricted → Classified
+$31.99 Profit +32% Return 100% Chance $99.52 Cost
FN ×6 $12.36 FN ×2 $7.90 FT ×2 $4.78
FN 50% $147 0.0491 FN 50% $121 0.0491
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium Train 2025
Inputs are priced at a recent reading of their float band, at the band's highest float; every outcome at its own float band. Profit is the expected value after the sale fee minus the cost. Prices move: open a row in the calculator to check it with the floats you can actually buy.