Classified → CovertMixed
+$316 Profit +11% Return 80% Chance $2,886 Cost
FN ×2 $46.00 FN ×8 $349
FN 80% $4,000 0.0099 FN 10% $420 0.0165 FN 10% $253 0.0165
Risk Low Availability Medium Sells Medium 8× 2021 Mirage 2× Genesis
Classified → CovertMixed
+$205 Profit +9% Return 60% Chance $2,269 Cost
FN ×3 $46.00 MW ×1 $35.35 FN ×6 $349
FN 60% $4,000 0.0091 FN 15% $420 0.0152 FN 15% $253 0.0152 FN 5.0% $280 0.0152 FN 5.0% $180 0.0068
Risk Medium Availability Medium Sells Medium 6× 2021 Mirage 3× Genesis 1× Chroma 2
≈ 5% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertMixed
+$151 Profit +8% Return 50% Chance $1,927 Cost
FN ×5 $36.17 FN ×5 $349
FN 50% $4,000 0.0085 FN 25% $277 0.0141 FN 25% $206 0.0099
Risk Medium Availability Medium Sells Medium 5× Spectrum 2 5× 2021 Mirage
≈ 25% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertMixed
+$149 Profit +8% Return 50% Chance $1,966 Cost
FN ×4 $46.00 MW ×1 $35.35 FN ×5 $349
FN 50% $4,000 0.0086 FN 20% $420 0.0143 FN 20% $253 0.0143 FN 5.0% $280 0.0143 FN 5.0% $180 0.0065
Risk Medium Availability Medium Sells Medium 5× 2021 Mirage 4× Genesis 1× Chroma 2
≈ 5% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertMixed New
+$95.89 Profit +6% Return 40% Chance $1,613 Cost
FN ×5 $36.17 MW ×1 $35.35 FN ×4 $349
FN 40% $4,000 0.0081 FN 25% $277 0.0135 FN 25% $206 0.0095 FN 5.0% $280 0.0135 FN 5.0% $180 0.0061
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium 5× Spectrum 2 4× 2021 Mirage 1× Chroma 2
≈ 30% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Restricted → ClassifiedST™
+$58.30 Profit +38% Return 33% Chance $154 Cost
MW ×9 $16.00 FT ×1 $9.68
MW 33% $550 0.1175 FN 33% $49.92 0.0087 MW 33% $49.00 0.0995
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium Phoenix
≈ 67% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Restricted → ClassifiedST™
+$53.25 Profit +35% Return 33% Chance $151 Cost
MW ×8 $16.00 MW ×1 $12.88 FT ×1 $9.68
MW 33% $550 0.1199 FN 33% $49.92 0.0099 MW 33% $24.00 0.1022
Risk High Availability High Sells Medium Phoenix
≈ 67% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Mil-Spec → RestrictedST™
+$40.88 Profit +23% Return 100% Chance $179 Cost
MW ×7 $18.00 MW ×2 $17.83 MW ×1 $17.82
MW 33% $266 0.1099 FN 33% $219 0.0050 MW 33% $190 0.1099
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium Arms Deal
≈ 33% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Mil-Spec → RestrictedST™ Mixed
+$37.05 Profit +23% Return 90% Chance $162 Cost
MW ×8 $18.00 MW ×1 $17.82 MW ×1 $0.62
MW 30% $266 0.1095 FN 30% $219 0.0048 MW 30% $190 0.1095 FN 2.0% $17.39 0.0507 FN 2.0% $8.96 0.0393 FN 2.0% — 0.0478 2.0% $33.29 2.0% — +3
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium 9× Arms Deal 1× Gallery
≈ 36% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Mil-Spec → RestrictedST™ Mixed
+$36.77 Profit +23% Return 90% Chance $162 Cost
MW ×7 $18.00 MW ×1 $0.23 MW ×2 $17.83
MW 30% $266 0.1096 FN 30% $219 0.0048 MW 30% $190 0.1096 FN 2.0% $5.28 0.0600 FN 2.0% $4.99 0.0420 FN 2.0% — 0.0390 2.0% $4.68 2.0% $2.47 +3
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium 9× Arms Deal 1× Recoil
≈ 38% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Mil-Spec → RestrictedST™ Mixed
+$36.73 Profit +23% Return 90% Chance $162 Cost
MW ×7 $18.00 MW ×1 $0.50 MW ×2 $17.83
MW 30% $266 0.1096 FN 30% $219 0.0048 MW 30% $190 0.1096 FN 2.0% $8.34 0.0542 FN 2.0% $7.18 0.0392 FN 2.0% $3.84 0.0301 2.0% $5.00 2.0% $4.69 +3
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium 9× Arms Deal 1× Danger Zone
≈ 34% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → Covert
+$16.06 Profit +14% Return 50% Chance $117 Cost
FT ×4 $11.72 FT ×6 $11.61
MW 50% $153 0.0756 MW 50% $118 0.1496
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium Chroma 3
Classified → Covert
+$9.97 Profit +18% Return 100% Chance $55.52 Cost
WW ×4 $5.69 BS ×6 $5.46
WW 50% $68.67 0.3888 BS 50% $64.99 0.4860
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium Dreams & Nightmares
Classified → Covert
+$8.79 Profit +16% Return 100% Chance $55.06 Cost
WW ×2 $5.69 BS ×8 $5.46
WW 50% $65.31 0.4144 BS 50% $64.99 0.5180
Risk Low Availability High Sells Medium Dreams & Nightmares
≈ 100% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Covert → Knife or glovesMixed New
+$7.84 Profit +4% Return 33% Chance $204 Cost
MW ×2 $33.99 MW ×1 $32.99 FT ×2 $51.46
FT 2.5% $139 0.2181 FT 2.5% $69.50 0.2181 FT 2.5% $52.00 0.2181 FT 2.5% $50.46 0.2181 FT 2.5% $45.00 0.2181 FT 2.5% $42.85 0.2181 2.5% $715 2.5% $675 2.5% $433 2.5% $196 2.5% $189 2.5% $159 2.5% $143 2.5% $134 2.5% $128 2.5% $125 2.5% $120 2.5% $105 2.5% $81.78 2.5% $59.24 2.5% $43.66 2.5% $41.46 2.5% $38.17 2.5% $36.84 1.8% $1,216 1.8% $677 1.8% $618 1.8% $487 1.8% $341 1.8% $332 1.8% $280 1.8% $248 1.8% $248 1.8% $239 1.8% $235 1.8% $230 1.8% $216 1.8% $214 1.8% $179 1.8% $160 1.8% $147 1.8% $134 1.8% $124 1.8% $110 1.8% $105 1.8% $91.15 +41
Risk High Availability High Sells Fast 3× Recoil 2× Dead Hand
≈ 42% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Covert → Knife or glovesMixed New
+$7.57 Profit +4% Return 33% Chance $204 Cost
MW ×1 $33.99 FT ×1 $34.26 MW ×1 $32.99 FT ×2 $51.46
FT 2.5% $139 0.2194 FT 2.5% $69.50 0.2194 FT 2.5% $52.00 0.2194 FT 2.5% $50.46 0.2194 FT 2.5% $45.00 0.2194 FT 2.5% $42.85 0.2194 2.5% $715 2.5% $675 2.5% $433 2.5% $196 2.5% $189 2.5% $159 2.5% $143 2.5% $134 2.5% $128 2.5% $125 2.5% $120 2.5% $105 2.5% $81.78 2.5% $59.24 2.5% $43.66 2.5% $41.46 2.5% $38.17 2.5% $36.84 1.8% $1,216 1.8% $677 1.8% $618 1.8% $487 1.8% $341 1.8% $332 1.8% $280 1.8% $248 1.8% $248 1.8% $239 1.8% $235 1.8% $230 1.8% $216 1.8% $214 1.8% $179 1.8% $160 1.8% $147 1.8% $134 1.8% $124 1.8% $110 1.8% $105 1.8% $91.15 +41
Risk High Availability High Sells Fast 2× Recoil 2× Dead Hand 1× Operation Broken Fang
≈ 42% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Industrial → Mil-Spec
+$7.57 Profit +45% Return 50% Chance $17.00 Cost
FN ×10 $1.70
FN 25% $49.49 0.0220 FN 25% $39.79 0.0196 FN 25% $11.00 0.0220 FN 25% — 0.0200
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium 2021 Mirage
≈ 75% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → Covert
+$7.07 Profit +6% Return 100% Chance $109 Cost
FT ×10 $10.91
FT 50% $125 0.1530 FT 50% $112 0.3400
Risk Low Availability High Sells Fast Chroma 2
≈ 50% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Industrial → Mil-SpecMixed
+$6.99 Profit +45% Return 45% Chance $15.45 Cost
FN ×1 $0.70 FN ×1 $2.35 FN ×5 $1.70 FN ×3 $1.30
FN 22% $49.49 0.0224 FN 22% $39.79 0.0199 FN 22% $11.00 0.0224 FN 22% — 0.0203 FN 2.5% $3.20 0.0407 FN 2.5% $2.97 0.0407 2.5% $5.46 2.5% $1.90 +3
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium 9× 2021 Mirage 1× Arabesque
≈ 70% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Industrial → Mil-SpecMixed
+$6.99 Profit +46% Return 45% Chance $15.25 Cost
FN ×1 $0.35 FN ×8 $1.70 FN ×1 $1.30
FN 22% $49.49 0.0223 FN 22% $39.79 0.0198 FN 22% $11.00 0.0223 FN 22% — 0.0202 FN 2.0% $1.49 0.0283 FN 2.0% $1.28 0.0243 2.0% $1.79 2.0% $1.26 2.0% $0.82 +4
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium 9× 2021 Mirage 1× Ascent
≈ 76% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertST™ Mixed
+$6.76 Profit +11% Return 50% Chance $61.76 Cost
MW ×5 $6.62 MW ×1 $6.58 FT ×4 $5.52
MW 30% $63.70 0.1499 FT 30% $63.00 0.1874 MW 20% $117 0.1494 FT 20% $42.14 0.1874
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium 6× Dreams & Nightmares 4× Kilowatt
≈ 50% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → Covert
+$6.64 Profit +3% Return 50% Chance $207 Cost
FN ×6 $25.23 MW ×4 $13.98
FN 50% $263 0.0700 FN 50% $174 0.0700
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium Genesis
≈ 50% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Classified → CovertST™ Mixed
+$6.26 Profit +12% Return 70% Chance $50.80 Cost
MW ×4 $6.62 FT ×5 $3.76 FT ×1 $5.52
MW 25% $69.19 0.1491 FT 25% $30.45 0.1864 MW 20% $63.70 0.1491 FT 20% $63.00 0.1864 MW 5.0% $117 0.1486 FT 5.0% $42.14 0.1864 +1
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Fast 5× Revolution 4× Dreams & Nightmares 1× Kilowatt
≈ 50% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Industrial → Mil-SpecMixed
+$5.99 Profit +65% Return 45% Chance $9.24 Cost
FN ×4 $0.26 FN ×1 $1.70 FN ×5 $1.30
FN 15% $49.49 0.0222 FN 15% $39.79 0.0197 FN 15% $11.00 0.0222 FN 15% — 0.0201 FN 6.7% $1.45 0.0303 FN 6.7% $1.14 0.0202 6.7% $1.28 6.7% $1.26 6.7% $1.20 6.7% $1.08 +5
Risk Medium Availability High Sells Medium 6× 2021 Mirage 4× Radiant
≈ 85% of the odds at the wear's usual price
Inputs are priced at a recent reading of their float band, at the band's highest float; every outcome at its own float band. Profit is the expected value after the sale fee minus the cost. Prices move: open a row in the calculator to check it with the floats you can actually buy.