Recoil Case
CaseKey $2.49StatTrak 1 in 10★ 1 in 39141 items2022
$1.02Value per opening
37%Return
4.3%Profit chance
Under the keyBreak-even
One opening of the Recoil Case is worth $1.02 on average against $2.74 to open (key included): a 37% return, with a 4.3% chance that a drop is worth more than it cost. 41 items; a knife or gloves 1 in 391.
Chance
Value
Mil-Spec 79.9% · 8% of the valueRestricted 16.0% · 10% of the valueClassified 3.20% · 16.0% of the valueCovert 0.64% · 26.8% of the valueRare special item 0.26% · 39.1% of the value
| Grade | Chance | Odds | Items | Average drop | Share of the value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.9% | 1 in 1.25 | $0.11 | 8% | |
| Restricted | 16.0% | 1 in 6.26 | $0.63 | 10% | |
| Classified | 3.20% | 1 in 31 | $5.08 | 16.0% | |
| Covert | 0.64% | 1 in 156 | $42.62 | 26.8% | |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 1 in 391 | $155 | 39.1% |
Grade odds as published for every weapon case; every item of a grade is equally likely. Doppler and Gamma Doppler phases are estimates. Float odds are an estimate. Typical drop $0.07.