Recoil Case
CaseKey $2.49StatTrak 1 in 10★ 1 in 39141 items2022
$1.02Value per opening
37%Return
4.3%Profit chance
Under the keyBreak-even
One opening of the Recoil Case is worth $1.02 on average against $2.74 to open (key included): a 37% return, with a 4.3% chance that a drop is worth more than it cost. 41 items; a knife or gloves 1 in 391.
Chance
Value
Mil-Spec 79.9% · 8% of the valueRestricted 16.0% · 10% of the valueClassified 3.20% · 16.0% of the valueCovert 0.64% · 26.8% of the valueRare special item 0.26% · 39.1% of the value
| Grade | Chance | Odds | Items | Average drop | Share of the value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.9% | 1 in 1.25 |       +1 | $0.11 | 8% |
| Restricted | 16.0% | 1 in 6.26 |      | $0.63 | 10% |
| Classified | 3.20% | 1 in 31 |    | $5.08 | 16.0% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 1 in 156 |   | $42.62 | 26.8% |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 1 in 391 |       +18 | $155 | 39.1% |
Grade odds as published for every weapon case; every item of a grade is equally likely. Doppler and Gamma Doppler phases are estimates. Float odds are an estimate. Typical drop $0.07.
FAMAS | Meow 361 in 8.76$0.14Galil AR | Destroyer1 in 8.76$0.12M4A4 | Poly Mag1 in 8.76$0.11MAC-10 | Monkeyflage1 in 8.76$0.08Negev | Drop Me1 in 8.76$0.09UMP-45 | Roadblock1 in 8.76$0.09
Glock-18 | Winterized1 in 8.76$0.12R8 Revolver | Crazy 81 in 31$0.62M249 | Downtown1 in 31$0.62SG 553 | Dragon Tech1 in 31$0.61P90 | Vent Rush1 in 31$0.63Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora1 in 31$0.66AK-47 | Ice Coaled1 in 94$6.27P250 | Visions1 in 94$4.50Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love1 in 94$4.46USP-S | Printstream1 in 313$49.22AWP | Chromatic Aberration1 in 313$36.03