Falchion Case
CaseKey $2.49StatTrak 1 in 10★ 1 in 39129 items2015
$1.95Value per opening
50%Return
8.1%Profit chance
Under the keyBreak-even
One opening of the Falchion Case is worth $1.95 on average against $3.93 to open (key included): a 50% return, with a 8.1% chance that a drop is worth more than it cost. 29 items; a knife or gloves 1 in 391.
Chance
Value
Mil-Spec 79.9% · 36.7% of the valueRestricted 16.0% · 20.2% of the valueClassified 3.20% · 14.0% of the valueCovert 0.64% · 15.1% of the valueRare special item 0.26% · 14.0% of the value
| Grade | Chance | Odds | Items | Average drop | Share of the value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.9% | 1 in 1.25 |       | $0.90 | 36.7% |
| Restricted | 16.0% | 1 in 6.26 |      | $2.46 | 20.2% |
| Classified | 3.20% | 1 in 31 |    | $8.55 | 14.0% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 1 in 156 |   | $46.14 | 15.1% |
| Rare special item | 0.26% | 1 in 391 |       +7 | $107 | 14.0% |
Grade odds as published for every weapon case; every item of a grade is equally likely. Doppler and Gamma Doppler phases are estimates. Float odds are an estimate. Typical drop $0.68.
Galil AR | Rocket Pop1 in 7.51$1.64Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner1 in 7.51$1.25Nova | Ranger1 in 7.51$0.47P90 | Elite Build1 in 7.51$0.44UMP-45 | Riot1 in 7.51$0.51USP-S | Torque1 in 7.51$1.08FAMAS | Neural Net1 in 31$2.24M4A4 | Evil Daimyo1 in 31$5.19MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart1 in 31$2.33Negev | Loudmouth1 in 31$1.05P2000 | Handgun1 in 31$1.50CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket1 in 94$5.84MP7 | Nemesis1 in 94$13.88SG 553 | Cyrex1 in 94$5.94AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge1 in 313$49.88AWP | Hyper Beast1 in 313$42.40