Cologne 2016 Mirage Souvenir Package
Souvenir packageNo keySouvenir drops15 items
$6.57Value per opening
7%Return
1.5%Profit chance
$6.57Break-even
One opening of the Cologne 2016 Mirage Souvenir Package is worth $6.57 on average against $99.00 to open: a 7% return, with a 1.5% chance that a drop is worth more than it cost. 15 items.
Chance
Value
Consumer Grade 80.1% · 18.7% of the valueIndustrial Grade 16.0% · 29.9% of the valueMil-Spec 3.21% · 49.8% of the valueRestricted 0.64% · 2% of the value
| Grade | Chance | Odds | Items | Average drop | Share of the value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Grade | 80.1% | 1 in 1.25 | $1.56 | 18.7% | |
| Industrial Grade | 16.0% | 1 in 6.24 | $11.90 | 29.9% | |
| Mil-Spec | 3.21% | 1 in 31 | $79.76 | 49.8% | |
| Restricted | 0.64% | 1 in 156 | $18.33 | 2% |
Grade odds from the game's own rarity weights; every item of a grade is equally likely. Float odds are an estimate. Typical drop $1.56.